Tag: Markets

• Recipe for a Market Crash

  

  Earnings season is upon us and a diabolical mash of market conditions is converging to make it an interesting one. Let’s get cooking. Ingredients: Two tablespoons of rising stock prices One cup rising price to earnings ratios One cup falling dividend yields 2 cups falling earnings estimates A dash of slowing global growth One scoop…

  Thomas Schleusener

  April 15, 2019

  Markets, Non-Fiction

  brexit, economics, Economy, Financial Markets, global growth, IMF, Market Crash, Markets, s&p 500, uk

• Quick Thoughts on Markets: May 24

  

  Quick thoughts on where markets will be/are: Multiple expansion thru 2019; bull market to continue or trade sideways with lower earnings estimates, lower guidance. P/E forward and trailing, P/S, P/CapEx, all rising thru 2019 Small cap debt expansion as small business owners feel more wealthy when tax season comes around in 2019, combined with rising…

  Thomas Schleusener

  May 24, 2018

  Markets, Non-Fiction

  crypto, economics, fed, inflation, interest rates, Markets, powell, rates, treasury bonds, Treasurys, vix, vol

• Bogus Tweet Risk

    Most financial media is focused on “tweet risk” or “trade wars”. To me, these seem like water under the bridge. It’s in China’s interest politically to retaliate to trade sanctions, but not in their interest to crash US markets. They hold a massive amount of US Treasurys, if they stop buying US bonds, rates…

  Thomas Schleusener

  April 3, 2018

  Markets, Non-Fiction

  bonds, interest rates, Markets, rates, Spread, stocks, Treasurys, trump, Tweet Risk, US Bonds, US Equities, vol smile, volatility, Yellen