fungible thoughts

Disclaimer. None of this is new. These ideas were taken,… Read more: Bureaucracy Native: AI and Humans

I’m not sure you could call the following “analysis” per… Read more: A Thought Exercise in AI Overlords

A smattering of thoughts: layoffs, AI bubble, Trump policy, crypto,… Read more: Markets Potpourri

I’ve been reading quite a bit about nature, physics, geology,… Read more: Guiding Principles: An Exercise

The advances in Artificial Intelligence (AI) are expected to significantly impact workforce and education, despite cultural adaptation lagging behind. Major companies are heavily investing in AI models, presenting immense opportunities for growth. Additionally, the financial landscape is shifting due to high interest rates, influencing equity market dynamics and pushing for more private credit.

My toddler is now two years old. “Why?” has become… Read more: Ask Why

Interest rates are here to stay if central banks are… Read more: Climate Change and Capital Allocation: The Year Ahead

You’re probably asking yourself, “Whoa there, cowboy. Inflation is good?… Read more: Inflation is Good?

Thoughts of a Liberal Arts Graduate on the Fed, interest… Read more: What’s the Point, Powell?

This one goes off the rails a bit toward the… Read more: Market Performance and a Little Optimism

The Arctic National Wildlife Reserve (ANWR) is the latest hot… Read more: To drill or not to drill?

There’s a famous story of a Russian diplomat in the… Read more: Why Capitalism Might Not be the Future

I’d like to attempt to disavow a common misconception with… Read more: Is Active Management Dead?

Today’s market is frothy, no doubt about it. Everything’s near… Read more: Most Dangerous Groups to Financial Stability

If you want to launch a revolution, don’t ask yourself… Read more: Power of Humanity: How Ideas Evolve

What changes do you want to see in the world… Read more: The Optimization Problem

Main themes as I saw them from the 2019 CFA… Read more: Global Investment Themes

If the galaxy is so large, why haven’t we heard… Read more: The Search for ET

Earnings season is upon us and a diabolical mash of… Read more: Recipe for a Market Crash

How do you define intelligence? A scene from Good Will… Read more: Two Kinds of Smart

A prior post outlined a structure, formally called SCRUM, which… Read more: Thinktank Evolved

I’ve been thinking a lot about the recent changes in… Read more: Thinktank Methodology: Millenials, Boomers, and VC’s

“Accidents” allowed life to be possible on Earth. For example,… Read more: Choices We Make

Christmas season is upon us and geez has the year… Read more: Jingle Bells, Batman Smells: YTD Reflection & 2019 Positioning

President Trump tweeted the following on Nov 6, 2012: US… Read more: The Climate Change Conspiracy and How to Position Your Investment Account in 2019

Ray Dalio emphasizes credit cycles as integral to his firm’s… Read more: Patterns in the Numbers

Find a scalable profession. While re-reading the The Black Swan by… Read more: Friday Thoughts: Motivation

Is the risk-reward trade-off broken? Historically smaller companies have higher… Read more: Get Paid to Take Risk

Were the most significant drops in financial markets a function… Read more: Government vs. Free Market: Crashes of the Past 100 Years

Note: Updates to follow (8/22) An Option is a vehicle… Read more: Options Basics

Humans remain the only species that is capable of taking… Read more: Vita Activa: The Future of Earth Lies in the Stars

The following is an investigation into who owns the inputs… Read more: Long Electric Vehicles or Long EV Inputs?

Both time and money can buy you experiences. Money can… Read more: Money vs. Time: What’s the Point.

Reflection on how my predictions panned out from my May… Read more: Followup: “Quick Thoughts on Markets: May 24”

Quick thoughts on where markets will be/are: Multiple expansion thru… Read more: Quick Thoughts on Markets: May 24

Sir John Glubb wrote an essay regarding the rise and… Read more: Fall of Empires

  The Fed is now shrinking its balance sheet; they… Read more: Knee Jerk Vol & the Fed

  Most financial media is focused on “tweet risk” or… Read more: Bogus Tweet Risk

Two competing forces in FX markets: Interest Rate Parity and… Read more: FX Dynamics

This entire rally is being fueled by credit, not real… Read more: Gotta Pay the Debt Collector

US Government Treasury bonds are the safest asset in the… Read more: So let me get this straight…

Do you feel more optimistic than a year ago? Despite… Read more: Discretionary Recessionary Signals

Valuations are stretched and economic data is cooling, yet markets… Read more: Why are Markets so Calm?

Bond markets and the Fed aren’t making sense. The Fed… Read more: Trouble in Yellen-Land

Apple, Inc., producer of the iPhone, announces quarterly earnings on… Read more: In the grand scheme of things, how big is Apple?

Using SCHA and SCHX as proxies for Small and Large… Read more: Relative Performance: Equal or Market Capitalization Weighted Index?

I’ll save you the suspense: MCD’s stock price returns were… Read more: Supersize Me’s Effect on MCD’s Stock Price

In this article, I’ll try to explain derivatives using the… Read more: Golf Options: An exersize in derivatives

Overview: China is renowned for keeping its citizens in the… Read more: Yahoo and Google: Democratic Responsibilities of Corporations

  When interest rates go up, and they will, the 50%… Read more: Who’s got the power?

Fun fact: This is what happens when you Google, “what… Read more: Bud Light sucks…

    Sick of the RNC yet? Enough of the… Read more: Sick of the RNC

Provocative subject, so let me clarify. How are smoking habits… Read more: Does Communism Cause Cancer?

Autocorrelation occurs where past data can be used to predict… Read more: Predicting the Future…

In 10 years, about 18.1% of the U.S. population will… Read more: Walnut IRA

I recently quit chewing tobacco, and, as many former nicotine… Read more: Vices