Category: Markets
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Bureaucracy Native: AI and Humans
Disclaimer. None of this is new. These ideas were taken, some verbatim from, Yuval Noah Harari’s interview here. Watch that video. It’s better than my article. Humans are successful because of our ability to share stories through language. Every complex system we’ve ever built has been dependent on language. However, we’re limited in our wetware.…
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A Thought Exercise in AI Overlords
I’m not sure you could call the following “analysis” per se, but it’s an idea that’s been rolling around in my head for a while. Some background: Monetary policy is often times described with the following axiom: Expansionary monetary policy is like pushing on a string, while restrictive policy is like pulling on a string.…
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Markets Potpourri
A smattering of thoughts: layoffs, AI bubble, Trump policy, crypto, Fed repo actions, fraud. Structural changes to US economy -> labor for infrastructure Verizon is the latest in a swath of tech companies laying off corporate staff, announcing it’s cutting up to 20% of it’s workforce. In recent weeks, Target Corp. announced plans to eliminate 1,800 roles,…
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Room to run: AI and Markets
The advances in Artificial Intelligence (AI) are expected to significantly impact workforce and education, despite cultural adaptation lagging behind. Major companies are heavily investing in AI models, presenting immense opportunities for growth. Additionally, the financial landscape is shifting due to high interest rates, influencing equity market dynamics and pushing for more private credit.
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Inflation is Good?
You’re probably asking yourself, “Whoa there, cowboy. Inflation is good? How are rising costs be good? How is less disposable income good? It costs twice as much to fill up the fridge as it did six months ago? How is that good?!” I borrowed a majority of these ideas from a recent interview by Russell…
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What’s the Point, Powell?
Thoughts of a Liberal Arts Graduate on the Fed, interest rates, inflation, demographics, and more The entire point of low interest rates was to shift consumers up the risk ladder. Lower potential returns in lower risk baskets purposefully pushed investors toward riskier options; pushed them to take more risk, for the same reward. The Fed…
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Market Performance and a Little Optimism
This one goes off the rails a bit toward the end. If you get bogged down, I’d skip to the conclusion. Thanks for reading. Those who are waiting, stashing their dry-powder (cash) in savings accounts, may have missed one of the greatest opportunities to purchase equities since 2009. Let’s have a look at how select…
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Why Capitalism Might Not be the Future
There’s a famous story of a Russian diplomat in the Cold War era who visited an American city. In Russia, bread lines were a daily occurrence. People waiting in line (not working and producing) for bread and food stuffs. When the diplomat visited the American city and saw there was bread on every shelf, he…
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Is Active Management Dead?
I’d like to attempt to disavow a common misconception with trading in equity markets. Before you read, answer the following question: What’s more important to trading: seeking gains or avoiding losses? In popular media, the best traders are those that can pick the winners better than the rest. Hot take, the best traders are those…
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