Tag: s&p 500
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Markets Potpourri
A smattering of thoughts: layoffs, AI bubble, Trump policy, crypto, Fed repo actions, fraud. Structural changes to US economy -> labor for infrastructure Verizon is the latest in a swath of tech companies laying off corporate staff, announcing it’s cutting up to 20% of it’s workforce. In recent weeks, Target Corp. announced plans to eliminate 1,800 roles,…
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Room to run: AI and Markets
The advances in Artificial Intelligence (AI) are expected to significantly impact workforce and education, despite cultural adaptation lagging behind. Major companies are heavily investing in AI models, presenting immense opportunities for growth. Additionally, the financial landscape is shifting due to high interest rates, influencing equity market dynamics and pushing for more private credit.
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What’s the Point, Powell?

Thoughts of a Liberal Arts Graduate on the Fed, interest rates, inflation, demographics, and more The entire point of low interest rates was to shift consumers up the risk ladder. Lower potential returns in lower risk baskets purposefully pushed investors toward riskier options; pushed them to take more risk, for the same reward. The Fed…
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Recipe for a Market Crash

Earnings season is upon us and a diabolical mash of market conditions is converging to make it an interesting one. Let’s get cooking. Ingredients: Two tablespoons of rising stock prices One cup rising price to earnings ratios One cup falling dividend yields 2 cups falling earnings estimates A dash of slowing global growth One scoop…
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FX Dynamics

Two competing forces in FX markets: Interest Rate Parity and Hot Money Interest Rate Parity states that a lower yielding currency should appreciate relative to a higher yielding currency. According to the International Fischer Relationship, higher yielding currencies have higher inflation domestically. This inflation difference causes the high yielding currency to depreciate relative to a…
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Relative Performance: Equal or Market Capitalization Weighted Index?
Using SCHA and SCHX as proxies for Small and Large cap equity markets, I attempt to measure cumulative relative performance over one (1), two (2), and three (3) year time periods. The S&P 500 is a market capitalization weighted index, meaning the biggest companies have the biggest weights in the index. The Dow Jones Industrial…

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